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Hi everyone,

Last week the WHO reported a plague outbreak in Madagascar. We planned to backpack there from 3 weeks arriving 13 dec. Now is the simple question can we do this responsibly (with a really low risk on infection) or could we better cancel the trip (what in our case means being stuck om the seychelles, not a punishment either).

"The World Health Organization has reported the death of 40 people in Madagascar due to the plague, with a further 80 infected. There have now been two confirmed cases in Antananarivo, with one fatality, and the WHO has warned of the danger of a “rapid spread” in the densely populated capital. The situation is reportedly worsened by high levels of insecticide resistance among the fleas who carry the disease".

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This outbreak is primarily an issue in urban or other areas of poor sanitation, where there are likely to be rats. The likelihood of spread in Antananarivo is in poor, densely populated areas, where visitors are to likely to go.

WHO's recommendation about this outbreak: "WHO does not recommend any travel or trade restriction based on the current information available." Niether the US CDC nor the UK Health Dept. recommend deferring travel. If it is any help: "Only 1 case of plague associated with international travel has been reported in the United States in the past 20 years."

The insect repellant that you use to prevent mosquito bites will also protect against flea bites. You should also stay away from extremely dubious flea-bag (literally flea bag) lodging. Stay away form any dead animals--any fleas that were inhabiting the animal are looking for a new host.

Me--I'd worry more about malaria or dengue. Or hepatitis and other diseases spread by contaminated food & water.


Nutrax
The plural of anecdote is not data.
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In response to #1

Thanks for the response. Hopefully we can still go.

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This issue is in all the international news, however it is not much of an issue to the visitor and guest in Madagascar being this is a slum issue as mentioned above.
Here is another article but what I found interesting is the fleas are building up a resistance to the insecticide.

Madagascar is currently experiencing an outbreak of the plague, the disease once known as the Black Death, the World Health Organization announced recently.
The first case was reported in August. As of November 19, there have been 119 cases and 40 deaths.
The plague is spread among rodent populations by fleas, who can also infect humans. Symptoms include fever, chills, weakness, and swollen, painful lymph nodes. Usually, a bite from an infected flea leads to the bubonic plague, which can be treated with antibiotics. But if the bacteria enters the lungs, it can turns into pneumonic plague, a far deadlier version that can cause respiratory failure and spread person-to-person by coughing. Two percent of cases in the Madagascar outbreak have been pneumonic.

"The mortality rate depends on how soon treatment is started," the WHO notes, "but is always very high."

Of particular concern in the current outbreak is Antananarivo, Madagascar's capital and largest city, where two cases and one death have been reported already. "There is now a risk of a rapid spread of the disease due to the city’s high population density and the weakness of the healthcare system," the WHO warned in a press release, adding that the local flea population has developed a high resistance to deltamethrin, a popular insecticide.

Here is another website that lists a variety of concerns , such as Malaria, that can be found here and compared to
other countries.
[http://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/cause-of-death/malaria/by-country/]

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To answer your question : The risk is very LOW for tourists who stay in clean hotel. You shouldn't cancel your trip due to this information. I am a vazah working in Madagascar as volunteer.
Have a nice trip

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