jamacia in june??
I'm planning a trip June 1st to the 16th to Jamaica. I’m fine with afternoon showers but not a hurricane. Should I look at going somewhere else or take my chances on the weather?1
This is the best site I know to track severe weather in the Caribbean : http://www.stormcarib.com/and a prediction of the season from Colorado State: "It is that time of the year again that forecasters Gray and Klotzbach of Colorado State University issue their forecast of how busy the season is going to be. They are projecting a slightly below (!) average season with 10 named storms, of which 4 become hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes (Category 3 and up). In a normal year we get 11, 6 and 2, resp. The reason for a normal year is that the tropical Atlantic is actually cooler than normal. Also, there is a weak El Nino expected for this Summer, which because of increased wind shear, make it less conducive for tropical storms to develop. There is a 34% chance that at least one major hurricane will move into the Caribbean (normal is 42%). So that's pretty good news. However, as the authors note: "Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them, and they need to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted." Less than 2 months till the start of the season! Read the full report on the Colorado State website: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/
other than that, some others will offer their opinions.
